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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
V-Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Winstrike Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

V-Gaming

Weaver
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 35 games
60%
Lina
Linaoften banned
hAze · 29 games
59%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
hAze · 28 games
54%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 27 games
59%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 26 games
62%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 25 games
64%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
laise · 25 games
72%
Bane
Banesignature
antoha · 24 games
67%

Winstrike Team

Weaver
Weaversignature
yamich · 20 games
75%
Mars
Marssignature
Noticed · 17 games
71%
Bane
Banesignature
Panto · 16 games
63%
Puck
Pucksignature
Larl · 14 games
71%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
mellojul · 14 games
57%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
SoNNeikO · 13 games
62%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Panto · 12 games
58%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
yamich · 11 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
537 picks · 376 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
460 picks · 651 bans
51%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
424 picks · 519 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
413 picks · 855 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
357 picks · 182 bans
44%
Kunkka
Kunkka
329 picks · 535 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
326 picks · 517 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
269 picks · 182 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 62%
Hero pool strength51% Winstrike Team
Head-to-head2 – 6
Model total59% Winstrike Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:28
V-Gaming 44%Winstrike Team 56%
The model gave 56% on Winstrike Team — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 37:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackTA2000
49% · 21 game50% · 202 games
Monkey KingDaxak
Monkey King
Puck
PuckhAze
47% · 185 games46% · 133 games
Spirit BreakerNoticed
Spirit Breaker
Timbersaw
Timbersawlaise
45% · 68 games53% · 84 games
Night StalkerLarl
Night Stalker
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinArrOw
49% · 104 games57% · 46 games
Jakiroforcemajor
Jakiro
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeKaori
48% · 126 games62% · 39 games
ChenSoNNeikO
Chen
Game 2prediction missed58:37
V-Gaming 44%Winstrike Team 56%
The model gave 56% on Winstrike Team — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 55:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaTA2000
52% · 116 games43% · 91 game
LifestealerDaxak
Lifestealer
Puck
PuckhAze
49% · 210 games47% · 164 games
Spirit BreakerNoticed
Spirit Breaker
Beastmaster
Beastmasterlaise
55% · 127 games53% · 190 games
LeshracLarl
Leshrac
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeArrOw
51% · 199 games50% · 77 games
JakiroSoNNeikO
Jakiro
Clockwerk
ClockwerkKaori
52% · 112 games49% · 242 games
Baneforcemajor
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteWinstrike Team · 59%
Series resultV-Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2