Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaisersloss 1:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Gaimin Gladiators
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 12 games
Banesignature
tOfu · 11 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 11 games
Tidehuntersignature
Ace · 9 games
Invokeroften banned
BOOM · 7 games
Weaversignature
tOfu · 7 games
Phantom Assassinsignature
dyrachyo · 6 games
Pucksignature
BOOM · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
536 picks · 375 bans
Mars
463 picks · 650 bans
Queen of Pain
423 picks · 519 bans
Weaver
412 picks · 857 bans
Snapfire
358 picks · 183 bans
Kunkka
331 picks · 532 bans
Spirit Breaker
323 picks · 517 bans
Disruptor
268 picks · 184 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 60%
Hero pool strength61% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:32
HellRaisers 43%Gaimin Gladiators 57%
The model gave 57% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 35:48.
Game 2prediction correct14:19
HellRaisers 43%Gaimin Gladiators 57%
The model gave 57% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 31:34.
Game 3prediction correct39:39
HellRaisers 43%Gaimin Gladiators 57%
The model gave 57% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 51:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 57%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3