Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportsloss 1:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Dark Willow
Heaven · 24 games
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 24 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 23 games
Shadow Demon
Heaven · 23 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
Beastmasteroften banned
TheChosenOne · 18 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
VANSKOR · 18 games
Rubick
Heaven · 18 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
535 picks · 373 bans
Mars
463 picks · 652 bans
Queen of Pain
425 picks · 518 bans
Weaver
412 picks · 858 bans
Snapfire
360 picks · 183 bans
Kunkka
330 picks · 534 bans
Spirit Breaker
323 picks · 518 bans
Disruptor
268 picks · 184 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 51%
Hero pool strength51% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total54% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:22
Gambit Esports 54%Nemiga Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 39:19.
Game 2prediction missed39:18
Gambit Esports 54%Nemiga Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 1:03:14.
Game 3prediction missed32:21
Gambit Esports 54%Nemiga Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 38:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 54%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3