Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Mind Gameswin 2:0series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CIS Rejectsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
CIS Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
533 picks · 373 bans
Mars
465 picks · 650 bans
Queen of Pain
424 picks · 517 bans
Weaver
411 picks · 859 bans
Snapfire
360 picks · 185 bans
Kunkka
330 picks · 533 bans
Spirit Breaker
323 picks · 516 bans
Disruptor
268 picks · 184 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 72%
Hero pool strength50% Mind Games
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% CIS Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:35
Mind Games 42%CIS Rejects 58%
The model gave 58% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by CIS Rejects in 44:55.
Game 2prediction correct23:11
Mind Games 42%CIS Rejects 58%
The model gave 58% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by CIS Rejects in 30:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteCIS Rejects · 58%
Series resultMind Games 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2