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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydraloss 1:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:2
V-Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hydra

Bane
Banesignature
Zayac · 28 games
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 27 games
81%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 24 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 22 games
55%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 21 game
48%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 18 games
67%
Chen
Chensignature
Zayac · 16 games
75%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 16 games
75%

V-Gaming

Weaver
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 35 games
60%
Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 31 game
61%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
hAze · 28 games
54%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 27 games
59%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 27 games
63%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 25 games
60%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
laise · 24 games
71%
Bane
Banesignature
antoha · 23 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
530 picks · 371 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
462 picks · 651 bans
51%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
422 picks · 516 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
410 picks · 858 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
360 picks · 185 bans
44%
Kunkka
Kunkka
326 picks · 532 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
323 picks · 511 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
268 picks · 182 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% Hydra
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total64% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:30
Hydra 57%V-Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on Hydra — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 32:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerKami
59% · 142 games48% · 210 games
LunaTA2000
Luna
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainAskold
46% · 296 games50% · 209 games
KunkkahAze
Kunkka
Dark Seer
Dark SeerBlizzy
51% · 113 games49% · 438 games
Marslaise
Mars
Snapfire
SnapfireMuka
50% · 329 games47% · 192 games
IoArrOw
Io
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinZayac
53% · 221 game46% · 52 games
JakiroKaori
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct52:41
Hydra 58%V-Gaming 42%
The model gave 58% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 57:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaAskold
49% · 243 games54% · 138 games
TerrorbladeTA2000
Terrorblade
Kunkka
KunkkaKami
54% · 225 games51% · 331 game
Marslaise
Mars
Axe
AxeBlizzy
50% · 113 games43% · 156 games
Storm SpirithAze
Storm Spirit
Jakiro
JakiroZayac
57% · 59 games44% · 165 games
IoArrOw
Io
Bane
BaneMuka
52% · 326 games47% · 176 games
DisruptorKaori
Disruptor
Game 3prediction missed22:40
Hydra 55%V-Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on Hydra — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 42:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinKami
46% · 130 games51% · 180 games
Wraith KingTA2000
Wraith King
Invoker
InvokerAskold
48% · 220 games56% · 192 games
KunkkahAze
Kunkka
Axe
AxeBlizzy
49% · 77 games34% · 87 games
Night Stalkerlaise
Night Stalker
Weaver
WeaverMuka
59% · 343 games52% · 161 game
DisruptorKaori
Disruptor
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonZayac
46% · 141 game57% · 291 game
BaneArrOw
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 64%
Series resultV-Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3