Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO1
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 1:0series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:0
CIS Rejectsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
CIS Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
530 picks · 369 bans
Mars
463 picks · 654 bans
Queen of Pain
420 picks · 514 bans
Weaver
410 picks · 861 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 187 bans
Kunkka
325 picks · 532 bans
Spirit Breaker
323 picks · 503 bans
Disruptor
269 picks · 180 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 74%
Hero pool strength50% Gambit Esports
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total67% CIS Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:37
Gambit Esports 33%CIS Rejects 67%
The model gave 67% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by CIS Rejects in 44:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteCIS Rejects · 67%
Series resultGambit Esports 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 1