Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO1
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportsloss 0:1series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:1
CIS Rejectswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
CIS Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
527 picks · 368 bans
Mars
460 picks · 654 bans
Queen of Pain
419 picks · 513 bans
Weaver
408 picks · 859 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 187 bans
Kunkka
323 picks · 531 bans
Spirit Breaker
322 picks · 500 bans
Disruptor
267 picks · 180 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 75%
Hero pool strength50% Gambit Esports
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total71% CIS Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:11
Gambit Esports 29%CIS Rejects 71%
The model gave 71% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by CIS Rejects in 31:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteCIS Rejects · 71%
Series resultCIS Rejects 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1