Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydrawin 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gambit Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Banesignature
Zayac · 23 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 23 games
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 22 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 21 game
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 20 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 17 games
Chensignature
Zayac · 16 games
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 16 games
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
524 picks · 367 bans
Mars
463 picks · 657 bans
Queen of Pain
414 picks · 514 bans
Weaver
410 picks · 861 bans
Snapfire
370 picks · 189 bans
Kunkka
326 picks · 527 bans
Spirit Breaker
320 picks · 493 bans
Disruptor
266 picks · 182 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 56%
Hero pool strength59% Hydra
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total58% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:14
Hydra 58%Gambit Esports 42%
The model gave 58% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 31:30.
Game 2prediction correct23:9
Hydra 58%Gambit Esports 42%
The model gave 58% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 29:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 58%
Series resultHydra 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2