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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
IVYloss 0:2
series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

IVY

Mars
Marsoften banned
TheBloodySky · 11 games
36%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
TheBloodySky · 10 games
30%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Lowskill · 6 games
0%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Lowskill · 6 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 5 games
60%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
Lowskill · 4 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Copy · 4 games
25%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lowskill · 4 games
25%

Nemiga Gaming

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Heaven · 29 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 26 games
42%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Heaven · 22 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 22 games
55%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TheChosenOne · 18 games
44%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Lodine · 17 games
59%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VANSKOR · 17 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
524 picks · 368 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
463 picks · 657 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
414 picks · 512 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
409 picks · 862 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
370 picks · 189 bans
44%
Kunkka
Kunkka
324 picks · 528 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
319 picks · 493 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
266 picks · 182 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 51%
Hero pool strength57% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total82% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:33
IVY 29%Nemiga Gaming 71%
The model gave 71% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 32:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaMo13ei
45% · 225 games51% · 203 games
MedusaKiritych
Medusa
Ursa
UrsaLowskill
48% · 154 games50% · 218 games
KunkkaAinkrad
Kunkka
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerTheBloodySky
56% · 114 games47% · 98 games
ViperTheChosenOne
Viper
Snapfire
SnapfireQupe
46% · 229 games50% · 216 games
RubickHeaven
Rubick
Weaver
Weaverjmn-
54% · 230 games54% · 217 games
Nyx AssassinVANSKOR
Nyx Assassin
Game 2prediction correct17:36
IVY 33%Nemiga Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 34:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingLowskill
53% · 204 games50% · 349 games
PuckAinkrad
Puck
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightTheBloodySky
45% · 166 games48% · 103 games
LifestealerKiritych
Lifestealer
Batrider
BatriderMo13ei
51% · 111 games46% · 172 games
KunkkaTheChosenOne
Kunkka
Phoenix
PhoenixQupe
51% · 129 games46% · 144 games
RubickHeaven
Rubick
Bane
Banejmn-
60% · 168 games50% · 10 games
VisageVANSKOR
Visage
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 82%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2