Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
V-Gamingloss 1:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Mind Gameswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
V-Gaming
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 34 games
Linasignature
hAze · 33 games
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 28 games
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 27 games
Queen of Painoften banned
hAze · 27 games
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 25 games
Night Stalkersignature
laise · 24 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 23 games
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
520 picks · 367 bans
Mars
462 picks · 655 bans
Queen of Pain
411 picks · 511 bans
Weaver
408 picks · 858 bans
Snapfire
370 picks · 189 bans
Kunkka
320 picks · 527 bans
Spirit Breaker
318 picks · 491 bans
Disruptor
264 picks · 182 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 56%
Hero pool strength59% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:25
V-Gaming 57%Mind Games 43%
The model gave 57% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 40:59.
Game 2prediction missed10:18
V-Gaming 57%Mind Games 43%
The model gave 57% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Mind Games in 40:38.
Game 3prediction missed14:23
V-Gaming 57%Mind Games 43%
The model gave 57% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Mind Games in 29:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 57%
Series resultMind Games 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3