?
arrow_backBack to match
Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
IVYloss 1:2
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Bramewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

IVY

Mars
Marsoften banned
TheBloodySky · 10 games
30%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
TheBloodySky · 9 games
33%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Lowskill · 6 games
0%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Lowskill · 5 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 5 games
60%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
Lowskill · 4 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Copy · 4 games
25%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lowskill · 4 games
25%

Brame

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 20 games
60%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 19 games
53%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Nefrit · 16 games
56%
Mars
Marssignature
SkyLark · 15 games
60%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 15 games
73%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
43%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 13 games
62%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
519 picks · 366 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
461 picks · 655 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
409 picks · 512 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
407 picks · 857 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
370 picks · 189 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
320 picks · 525 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
316 picks · 490 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
264 picks · 182 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 52%
Hero pool strength61% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total78% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:25
IVY 33%Brame 67%
The model gave 67% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 25:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeLowskill
55% · 104 games50% · 218 games
Wraith KingNefrit
Wraith King
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainTheBloodySky
45% · 177 games51% · 231 game
InvokerW1sh-
Invoker
Void Spirit
Void SpiritMo13ei
51% · 187 games44% · 59 games
JakiroSkyLark
Jakiro
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorjmn-
58% · 87 games44% · 137 games
Spirit BreakerLil
Spirit Breaker
Snapfire
SnapfireQupe
47% · 171 game55% · 81 game
SilencerSsaSpartan
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed42:22
IVY 36%Brame 64%
The model gave 64% on Brame — the game was taken by IVY in 33:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaLowskill
60% · 86 games41% · 117 games
Phantom AssassinNefrit
Phantom Assassin
Zeus
ZeusMo13ei
44% · 5 games54% · 34 games
TinkerW1sh-
Tinker
Mars
MarsTheBloodySky
52% · 193 games45% · 19 games
VisageSkyLark
Visage
Weaver
Weaverjmn-
64% · 135 games32% · 41 game
DawnbreakerLil
Dawnbreaker
Pudge
PudgeQupe
54% · 7 games43% · 215 games
Queen of PainSsaSpartan
Queen of Pain
Game 3prediction correct27:39
IVY 33%Brame 67%
The model gave 67% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 40:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackLowskill
53% · 39 games49% · 56 games
LifestealerNefrit
Lifestealer
Timbersaw
TimbersawMo13ei
47% · 115 games59% · 81 game
LycanSkyLark
Lycan
Viper
ViperTheBloodySky
39% · 95 games53% · 247 games
WeaverLil
Weaver
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerQupe
45% · 130 games49% · 126 games
Shadow DemonW1sh-
Shadow Demon
Bane
Banejmn-
56% · 297 games52% · 166 games
AbaddonSsaSpartan
Abaddon
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 78%
Series resultBrame 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3