Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
No Sorrywin 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Cchekoldyrikiloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Sorry
Legion Commanderoften banned
LastHero- · 2 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Worick · 2 games
Treant Protector
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
Weaveroften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
Axe
LastHero- · 1 game
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 1 game
Clockwerk
y0nd · 1 game
Dark Willow
y0nd · 1 game
chekoldyriki
Treant Protector
smN · 3 games
Invokeroften banned
solji · 2 games
Marsoften banned
Tabletkee · 2 games
Queen of Painoften banned
solji · 2 games
Snapfire
081 · 2 games
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Tabletkee · 2 games
Bane
smN · 1 game
Disruptor
smN · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
520 picks · 367 bans
Mars
461 picks · 660 bans
Queen of Pain
408 picks · 513 bans
Weaver
408 picks · 861 bans
Snapfire
371 picks · 192 bans
Kunkka
320 picks · 529 bans
Spirit Breaker
316 picks · 488 bans
Disruptor
266 picks · 183 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 33%
Hero pool strength52% No Sorry
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% chekoldyriki
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:17
No Sorry 50%chekoldyriki 50%
The model gave 50% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 27:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PuckWorick
Wraith KingKom4rt
MarsLastHero-
Queen of Painsolji
Ioy0nd
Night StalkerTabletkee
JakiroBLACKARXANGEL
Shadow Demon081
53% · 178 games
DisruptorsmN
Game 2prediction correct26:11
No Sorry 50%chekoldyriki 50%
The model gave 50% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 41:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KunkkaWorick
MorphlingKom4rt
Queen of PainLastHero-
Linasolji
Dawnbreakery0nd
MarsTabletkee
BaneBLACKARXANGEL
Treant ProtectorsmN
Model check result
Model favoritechekoldyriki · 51%
Series resultNo Sorry 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2