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CCT Season 2 Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Pipsqueak+4win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 48 games
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 43 games
67%
Chen
Chensignature
RESPECT · 39 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
RESPECT · 36 games
47%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
slimeyao · 36 games
58%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
slimeyao · 36 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
slimeyao · 35 games
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
RESPECT · 34 games
50%

Pipsqueak+4

Warlock
Warlock
Kidaro · 47 games
43%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kidaro · 43 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Palantimos · 42 games
57%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Palantimos · 36 games
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 34 games
47%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Ekki · 33 games
61%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Ekki · 32 games
66%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
xn丶e · 31 game
48%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
634 picks · 984 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
524 picks · 440 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
461 picks · 632 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
439 picks · 1025 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
437 picks · 478 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
436 picks · 268 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
421 picks · 512 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
416 picks · 567 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% HULIGANI
Head-to-head4 – 3
Model total53% Pipsqueak+4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:27
HULIGANI 49%Pipsqueak+4 51%
The model gave 51% on Pipsqueak+4 — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4 in 1:09:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
Beastmasterv1olent-
53% · 218 games49% · 239 games
WindrangerDarkLord^
Windranger
Brewmaster
BrewmasterBb3px
49% · 79 games49% · 173 games
Void SpiritCopy
Void Spirit
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMirage
44% · 307 games50% · 337 games
MarsPalantimos
Mars
Chen
ChenRESPECT
55% · 144 games50% · 168 games
PhoenixEkki
Phoenix
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanslimeyao
51% · 212 games49% · 43 games
Omniknightaik
Omniknight
Game 2prediction correct33:39
HULIGANI 50%Pipsqueak+4 50%
The model gave 50% on Pipsqueak+4 — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4 in 1:05:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
Weaverv1olent-
58% · 92 games40% · 214 games
SvenDarkLord^
Sven
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMirage
56% · 211 games56% · 150 games
RazorCopy
Razor
Mars
MarsBb3px
52% · 292 games47% · 162 games
BrewmasterPalantimos
Brewmaster
Jakiro
Jakiroslimeyao
50% · 355 games49% · 444 games
HoodwinkEkki
Hoodwink
Disruptor
DisruptorRESPECT
46% · 252 games46% · 232 games
Dazzleaik
Dazzle
Model check result
Model favoritePipsqueak+4 · 53%
Series resultPipsqueak+4 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2