Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportsloss 1:2series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Entitywin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
520 picks · 367 bans
Mars
464 picks · 666 bans
Queen of Pain
406 picks · 507 bans
Weaver
406 picks · 862 bans
Snapfire
378 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
318 picks · 528 bans
Spirit Breaker
307 picks · 483 bans
Ember Spirit
268 picks · 352 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 76%
Hero pool strength50% Gambit Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:12
Gambit Esports 25%Entity 75%
The model gave 75% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 43:43.
Game 2prediction correct5:27
Gambit Esports 25%Entity 75%
The model gave 75% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 33:43.
Game 3prediction correct25:4
Gambit Esports 25%Entity 75%
The model gave 75% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 26:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 75%
Series resultEntity 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3