Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydrawin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Cchekoldyrikiloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 23 games
Banesignature
Zayac · 22 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 21 game
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 20 games
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 20 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 17 games
Chensignature
Zayac · 16 games
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 15 games
chekoldyriki
Treant Protector
smN · 3 games
Invokeroften banned
solji · 2 games
Marsoften banned
Tabletkee · 2 games
Bane
smN · 1 game
Lifestealeroften banned
Kom4rt · 1 game
Lion
081 · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Kom4rt · 1 game
Night Stalkeroften banned
Tabletkee · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
519 picks · 367 bans
Mars
464 picks · 664 bans
Weaver
406 picks · 860 bans
Queen of Pain
405 picks · 506 bans
Snapfire
377 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
317 picks · 527 bans
Spirit Breaker
306 picks · 482 bans
Ember Spirit
267 picks · 352 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 38%
Hero pool strength66% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:20
Hydra 68%chekoldyriki 32%
The model gave 68% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 37:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LinaAskold
Drow RangerKom4rt
LifestealerKami
Queen of Painsolji
BeastmasterBlizzy
KunkkaTabletkee
BaneMuka
JakirosmN
EarthshakerZayac
Shadow Demon081
Game 2prediction correct24:8
Hydra 70%chekoldyriki 30%
The model gave 70% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 23:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith KingKami
Ember Spiritsolji
BeastmasterBlizzy
Phantom AssassinKom4rt
Earth SpiritAskold
Spirit BreakerTabletkee
JakiroZayac
Snapfire081
Dark WillowMuka
DisruptorsmN
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 79%
Series resultHydra 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2