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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
V-Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

V-Gaming

Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 35 games
60%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 31 game
68%
Weaver
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 29 games
62%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 27 games
59%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
hAze · 26 games
54%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 25 games
60%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
laise · 24 games
71%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 24 games
67%

Nemiga Gaming

Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 29 games
41%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Heaven · 27 games
56%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Heaven · 21 game
48%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 21 game
52%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
52%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Lodine · 18 games
61%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TheChosenOne · 18 games
44%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Lodine · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
517 picks · 367 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
463 picks · 661 bans
50%
Weaver
Weaver
403 picks · 855 bans
56%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
401 picks · 502 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
375 picks · 193 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
313 picks · 523 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
304 picks · 478 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
267 picks · 352 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 51%
Hero pool strength56% V-Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 9
Model total57% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:17
V-Gaming 55%Nemiga Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 45:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaTA2000
42% · 118 games52% · 64 games
Anti-MageKiritych
Anti-Mage
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainhAze
50% · 87 games59% · 7 games
PugnaAinkrad
Pugna
Slardar
Slardarlaise
57% · 38 games60% · 107 games
BeastmasterTheChosenOne
Beastmaster
Weaver
WeaverAntares
46% · 161 game45% · 181 game
RubickHeaven
Rubick
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorArrOw
58% · 62 games43% · 107 games
Shadow DemonVANSKOR
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction missed15:28
V-Gaming 55%Nemiga Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 29:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzTA2000
55% · 14 games49% · 232 games
KunkkaAinkrad
Kunkka
Puck
PuckhAze
47% · 283 games55% · 211 games
TerrorbladeKiritych
Terrorblade
Mars
Marslaise
48% · 352 games48% · 117 games
AxeTheChosenOne
Axe
Weaver
WeaverAntares
51% · 168 games46% · 145 games
Dark WillowHeaven
Dark Willow
Death Prophet
Death ProphetArrOw
52% · 181 game54% · 293 games
Nyx AssassinVANSKOR
Nyx Assassin
Game 3prediction correct51:26
V-Gaming 54%Nemiga Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 51:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
KunkkaTA2000
48% · 151 game46% · 141 game
Death ProphetAinkrad
Death Prophet
Broodmother
Broodmotherlaise
47% · 70 games50% · 119 games
TerrorbladeKiritych
Terrorblade
Invoker
InvokerhAze
54% · 179 games47% · 73 games
Centaur WarrunnerTheChosenOne
Centaur Warrunner
Weaver
WeaverArrOw
52% · 157 games47% · 131 game
Dark WillowHeaven
Dark Willow
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageAntares
51% · 36 games56% · 129 games
AbaddonVANSKOR
Abaddon
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 57%
Series resultV-Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3