Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
CIS Rejectswin 2:0series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Cchekoldyrikiloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CIS Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
chekoldyriki
Bane
smN · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
solji · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Tabletkee · 1 game
Phantom Lanceroften banned
Kom4rt · 1 game
Razoroften banned
Kom4rt · 1 game
Shadow Fiend
solji · 1 game
Snapfire
081 · 1 game
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Tabletkee · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
514 picks · 366 bans
Mars
462 picks · 661 bans
Weaver
402 picks · 852 bans
Queen of Pain
399 picks · 501 bans
Snapfire
375 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
311 picks · 522 bans
Spirit Breaker
302 picks · 477 bans
Ember Spirit
266 picks · 352 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)81% vs 43%
Hero pool strength56% CIS Rejects
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% CIS Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:12
CIS Rejects 90%chekoldyriki 10%
The model gave 90% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by chekoldyriki in 29:39.
Game 2prediction missed9:29
CIS Rejects 90%chekoldyriki 10%
The model gave 90% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by chekoldyriki in 19:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteCIS Rejects · 90%
Series resultCIS Rejects 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2