Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Mind Gameswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 27 games
Shadow Demon
Heaven · 27 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 21 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
Dark Willow
Heaven · 20 games
Abaddon
Lodine · 19 games
Beastmasteroften banned
TheChosenOne · 18 games
Disruptor
VANSKOR · 18 games
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
514 picks · 365 bans
Mars
459 picks · 661 bans
Weaver
400 picks · 851 bans
Queen of Pain
399 picks · 498 bans
Snapfire
375 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
310 picks · 520 bans
Spirit Breaker
302 picks · 477 bans
Ember Spirit
266 picks · 352 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:30
Nemiga Gaming 59%Mind Games 41%
The model gave 59% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 43:38.
Game 2prediction missed9:37
Nemiga Gaming 59%Mind Games 41%
The model gave 59% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Mind Games in 34:47.
Game 3prediction missed30:38
Nemiga Gaming 59%Mind Games 41%
The model gave 59% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Mind Games in 58:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 59%
Series resultMind Games 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3