Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
CIS Rejectswin 2:0series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Sorryloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CIS Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
No Sorry
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
512 picks · 366 bans
Mars
458 picks · 663 bans
Queen of Pain
397 picks · 496 bans
Weaver
395 picks · 854 bans
Snapfire
376 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
308 picks · 521 bans
Spirit Breaker
300 picks · 472 bans
Ember Spirit
265 picks · 357 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)80% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% CIS Rejects
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% CIS Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:29
CIS Rejects 93%No Sorry 7%
The model gave 93% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by No Sorry in 39:20.
Game 2prediction missed27:40
CIS Rejects 93%No Sorry 7%
The model gave 93% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by No Sorry in 37:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteCIS Rejects · 93%
Series resultCIS Rejects 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2