Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Into The Breach
Linasignature
Bor@nija · 8 games
Marsoften banned
Xibbe · 8 games
Snapfiresignature
Era · 8 games
Medusasignature
Charlie · 7 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Bor@nija · 7 games
Tidehuntersignature
Xibbe · 7 games
Void Spirit
Bor@nija · 6 games
Doomoften banned
Xibbe · 5 games
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
511 picks · 365 bans
Mars
458 picks · 661 bans
Queen of Pain
397 picks · 496 bans
Weaver
394 picks · 854 bans
Snapfire
376 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
308 picks · 520 bans
Spirit Breaker
299 picks · 471 bans
Ember Spirit
265 picks · 357 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 54%
Hero pool strength55% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:24
Into The Breach 42%Gambit Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 22:29.
Game 2prediction correct13:24
Into The Breach 42%Gambit Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 23:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 58%
Series resultGambit Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2