Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Brame
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 20 games
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
Lunaoften banned
Nefrit · 16 games
Marssignature
SkyLark · 15 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 14 games
Earth Spiritsignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
Kunkkasignature
W1sh- · 13 games
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
510 picks · 364 bans
Mars
458 picks · 661 bans
Queen of Pain
396 picks · 495 bans
Weaver
393 picks · 853 bans
Snapfire
376 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
307 picks · 519 bans
Spirit Breaker
299 picks · 469 bans
Ember Spirit
265 picks · 357 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 46%
Hero pool strength56% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:32
Brame 61%Mind Games 39%
The model gave 61% on Brame — the game was taken by Mind Games in 41:26.
Game 2prediction missed21:32
Brame 61%Mind Games 39%
The model gave 61% on Brame — the game was taken by Mind Games in 45:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 61%
Series resultMind Games 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2