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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
IVYloss 0:2
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:2
V-Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

IVY

Mars
Marsoften banned
TheBloodySky · 9 games
33%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
jAMES · 6 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 5 games
60%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
Lowskill · 4 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Copy · 4 games
25%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lowskill · 4 games
25%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Copy · 4 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Copy · 4 games
0%

V-Gaming

Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 35 games
60%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 29 games
66%
Weaver
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 28 games
61%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 26 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 25 games
60%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 25 games
72%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
laise · 24 games
71%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
hAze · 24 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
509 picks · 362 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
456 picks · 659 bans
51%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
394 picks · 494 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
392 picks · 850 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
376 picks · 193 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
306 picks · 516 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
298 picks · 467 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
265 picks · 357 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 59%
Hero pool strength61% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total78% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:34
IVY 34%V-Gaming 66%
The model gave 66% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 35:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaLowskill
53% · 138 games42% · 133 games
Faceless VoidTA2000
Faceless Void
Death Prophet
Death ProphetMo13ei
54% · 132 games52% · 219 games
Storm SpirithAze
Storm Spirit
Mars
MarsTheBloodySky
51% · 285 games47% · 216 games
Dragon Knightlaise
Dragon Knight
Dark Willow
Dark WillowQupe
54% · 120 games49% · 38 games
Skywrath MageAntares
Skywrath Mage
Abaddon
Abaddonjmn-
46% · 123 games52% · 192 games
IoArrOw
Io
Game 2prediction correct24:49
IVY 33%V-Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 42:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaLowskill
48% · 91 game68% · 28 games
BristlebackTA2000
Bristleback
Lina
LinaMo13ei
49% · 188 games43% · 221 game
Queen of Painlaise
Queen of Pain
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerTheBloodySky
50% · 90 games52% · 9 games
TechiesAntares
Techies
Pangolier
PangolierQupe
51% · 160 games50% · 236 games
InvokerhAze
Invoker
Bane
Banejmn-
53% · 178 games50% · 213 games
Nyx AssassinArrOw
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 78%
Series resultV-Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2