Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
No Sorryloss 0:2series probability
7%93%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Sorry
No games played over 6 months.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
509 picks · 362 bans
Mars
456 picks · 659 bans
Queen of Pain
392 picks · 494 bans
Weaver
392 picks · 849 bans
Snapfire
376 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
306 picks · 515 bans
Spirit Breaker
297 picks · 466 bans
Ember Spirit
265 picks · 357 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 71%
Hero pool strength50% No Sorry
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:32
No Sorry 7%Entity 93%
The model gave 93% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 31:03.
Game 2prediction correct23:8
No Sorry 7%Entity 93%
The model gave 93% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 21:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 93%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2