Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Winstrike Teamloss 1:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Mind Gameswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Winstrike Team
Void Spirit
mellojul · 18 games
Weaversignature
yamich · 18 games
Marssignature
chshrct · 15 games
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 14 games
Ogre Magi
Panto · 12 games
Abaddon
Panto · 11 games
Miranasignature
yamich · 11 games
Monkey Kingsignature
yamich · 11 games
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
505 picks · 360 bans
Mars
453 picks · 657 bans
Weaver
391 picks · 842 bans
Queen of Pain
390 picks · 489 bans
Snapfire
374 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
302 picks · 512 bans
Spirit Breaker
294 picks · 461 bans
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 355 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 42%
Hero pool strength59% Winstrike Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Winstrike Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:27
Winstrike Team 68%Mind Games 32%
The model gave 68% on Winstrike Team — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 39:31.
Game 2prediction missed20:48
Winstrike Team 68%Mind Games 32%
The model gave 68% on Winstrike Team — the game was taken by Mind Games in 56:51.
Game 3prediction missed4:27
Winstrike Team 68%Mind Games 32%
The model gave 68% on Winstrike Team — the game was taken by Mind Games in 31:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteWinstrike Team · 68%
Series resultMind Games 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3