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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 45 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 25 games
64%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 25 games
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
54%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 24 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 23 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 20 games
80%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 20 games
45%

Team Liquid

Tusk
Tusk
Boxi · 39 games
56%
Puck
Pucksignature
Nisha · 30 games
63%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Boxi · 28 games
46%
Kez
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 24 games
54%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Boxi · 23 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 23 games
43%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Boxi · 22 games
73%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Ace · 20 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
628 picks · 973 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
518 picks · 435 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
460 picks · 626 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
439 picks · 1011 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
434 picks · 477 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
432 picks · 263 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
422 picks · 512 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
406 picks · 564 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head7 – 3
Model total55% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:36
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Team Liquid 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:00:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinKiritych
53% · 286 games53% · 287 games
Shadow FiendNisha
Shadow Fiend
Puck
PuckgpK~
47% · 472 games50% · 595 games
Dragon KnightmiCKe
Dragon Knight
Dazzle
DazzleMieRo
49% · 180 games51% · 470 games
MarsAce
Mars
Tiny
TinySave-
53% · 418 games52% · 360 games
HoodwinkBoxi
Hoodwink
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
49% · 599 games43% · 243 games
PhoenixtOfu
Phoenix
Game 2prediction missed17:37
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Team Liquid 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 32:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezKiritych
50% · 109 games45% · 137 games
MuertamiCKe
Muerta
Beastmaster
BeastmastergpK~
51% · 416 games48% · 61 game
RazorNisha
Razor
Necrophos
NecrophosMieRo
39% · 14 games52% · 256 games
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Centaur Warrunner
Phoenix
PhoenixKataomi
49% · 254 games51% · 277 games
WarlocktOfu
Warlock
Marci
MarciSave-
54% · 277 games51% · 339 games
TuskBoxi
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2