Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Marsoften banned
Frank · 15 games
Tidehuntersignature
Oscar · 14 games
Batrideroften banned
DarkMago · 9 games
Abaddonsignature
Panda · 7 games
Ogre Magisignature
Panda · 7 games
Phoenix
Mjz · 7 games
Snapfire
Matthew · 7 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Leostyle · 6 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
479 picks · 345 bans
Mars
439 picks · 628 bans
Queen of Pain
368 picks · 464 bans
Weaver
368 picks · 815 bans
Snapfire
359 picks · 188 bans
Kunkka
292 picks · 488 bans
Spirit Breaker
282 picks · 427 bans
Ember Spirit
257 picks · 347 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% beastcoast
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total81% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 81%
Series resultThunder Awaken 2:0
Series predictioncorrect