Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Mind Gameswin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
AS Monaco Gambitloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
AS Monaco Gambit
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
467 picks · 338 bans
Mars
435 picks · 618 bans
Queen of Pain
365 picks · 450 bans
Weaver
360 picks · 805 bans
Snapfire
350 picks · 188 bans
Kunkka
287 picks · 477 bans
Spirit Breaker
275 picks · 418 bans
Ember Spirit
254 picks · 345 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 30%
Hero pool strength50% Mind Games
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% AS Monaco Gambit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct1:19
Mind Games 50%AS Monaco Gambit 50%
The model gave 50% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by AS Monaco Gambit in 19:14.
Game 2prediction correct33:4
Mind Games 50%AS Monaco Gambit 50%
The model gave 50% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by AS Monaco Gambit in 36:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteAS Monaco Gambit · 50%
Series resultMind Games 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2