Intel World Open Beijing · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingloss 1:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Invictus Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Tidehunteroften banned
ELeVeN · 21 game
Grimstroke
Victoria · 19 games
Weaveroften banned
Pyw · 19 games
Disruptorsignature
Dy · 18 games
Dragon Knight
ELeVeN · 17 games
Pangolieroften banned
Yds · 16 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
poyoyo · 13 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Ori · 13 games
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
463 picks · 338 bans
Mars
433 picks · 617 bans
Queen of Pain
363 picks · 446 bans
Weaver
359 picks · 802 bans
Snapfire
347 picks · 188 bans
Kunkka
284 picks · 474 bans
Spirit Breaker
275 picks · 414 bans
Ember Spirit
252 picks · 343 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head6 – 6
Model total55% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:25
Vici Gaming 45%Invictus Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 44:00.
Game 2prediction correct16:41
Vici Gaming 45%Invictus Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 39:19.
Game 3prediction correct14:37
Vici Gaming 45%Invictus Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 38:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 55%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3