Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
King Of Kingsloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Gyrocoptersignature
Lumière · 10 games
Marssignature
Sacred · 9 games
Bloodseekersignature
Sacred · 7 games
Earth Spirit
Michael · 7 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
Lunaoften banned
Parker · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
King Of Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
456 picks · 338 bans
Mars
430 picks · 613 bans
Queen of Pain
362 picks · 442 bans
Weaver
356 picks · 800 bans
Snapfire
344 picks · 186 bans
Kunkka
282 picks · 472 bans
Spirit Breaker
275 picks · 409 bans
Ember Spirit
252 picks · 343 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 60%
Hero pool strength61% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:30
Infamous 64%King Of Kings 36%
The model gave 64% on Infamous — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 30:05.
Game 2prediction missed31:25
Infamous 64%King Of Kings 36%
The model gave 64% on Infamous — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 41:41.
Game 3prediction missed26:6
Infamous 64%King Of Kings 36%
The model gave 64% on Infamous — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 20:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 64%
Series resultInfamous 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3