Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Gorillaz-Prideloss 1:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gorillaz-Pride
Snapfire
d1smar · 6 games
Tusksignature
Genek · 6 games
Linaoften banned
TaO · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Cara · 5 games
Hoodwink
d1smar · 4 games
Bane
Genek · 3 games
Disruptor
Genek · 3 games
Invokeroften banned
TaO · 3 games
Infinity Esports
Invokersignature
mini-` · 6 games
Marsoften banned
Valquiria · 5 games
Treant Protector
Nuages · 5 games
Lion
Jupiter · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Benny · 3 games
Skywrath Mage
Jupiter · 3 games
Snapfire
Jupiter · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Valquiria · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
455 picks · 335 bans
Mars
428 picks · 612 bans
Queen of Pain
360 picks · 439 bans
Weaver
354 picks · 797 bans
Snapfire
340 picks · 185 bans
Kunkka
280 picks · 469 bans
Spirit Breaker
273 picks · 409 bans
Ember Spirit
251 picks · 342 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 80%
Hero pool strength57% Gorillaz-Pride
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total58% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:36
Gorillaz-Pride 42%Infinity Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 53:47.
Game 2prediction missed51:19
Gorillaz-Pride 42%Infinity Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Gorillaz-Pride in 35:22.
Game 3prediction correct10:36
Gorillaz-Pride 42%Infinity Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 37:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 58%
Series resultInfinity Esports 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3