Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Zoomerswin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Wildcard Gaming
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
DaaD- · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 4 games
Rubick
The Warden · 4 games
Weaveroften banned
The Warden · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Sunlight · 2 games
Broodmotheroften banned
Sunlight · 2 games
Earth Spirit
The Warden · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
438 picks · 322 bans
Mars
408 picks · 597 bans
Queen of Pain
346 picks · 418 bans
Weaver
341 picks · 772 bans
Snapfire
328 picks · 181 bans
Kunkka
268 picks · 448 bans
Spirit Breaker
263 picks · 382 bans
Ember Spirit
243 picks · 332 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength58% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:24
4 Zoomers 63%Wildcard Gaming 37%
The model gave 63% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 47:53.
Game 2prediction correct32:10
4 Zoomers 63%Wildcard Gaming 37%
The model gave 63% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 30:28.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 63%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2