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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
ELeVeN · 19 games
58%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Pyw · 19 games
53%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Dy · 18 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Dy · 18 games
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
ELeVeN · 17 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Yds · 15 games
40%
Lion
Lion
Pyw · 12 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
poyoyo · 12 games
50%

Royal Never Give Up

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
434 picks · 320 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
406 picks · 593 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
342 picks · 412 bans
50%
Weaver
Weaver
338 picks · 766 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
326 picks · 179 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
267 picks · 445 bans
56%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
262 picks · 375 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
242 picks · 329 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 61%
Hero pool strength54% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head6 – 2
Model total59% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:24
Vici Gaming 41%Royal Never Give Up 59%
The model gave 59% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 37:10.
Game 2prediction correct12:20
Vici Gaming 41%Royal Never Give Up 59%
The model gave 59% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 30:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 59%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2