Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Electronic Boysloss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
5ManMidaswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Electronic Boys
Grimstroke
albinozebra · 6 games
Clockwerk
b1kA · 5 games
Ogre Magi
albinozebra · 5 games
Dark Willow
b1kA · 4 games
Iooften banned
b1kA · 4 games
Marsoften banned
Speeed · 4 games
Razoroften banned
Speeed · 4 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Oklahoma · 4 games
5ManMidas
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
433 picks · 318 bans
Mars
404 picks · 590 bans
Queen of Pain
340 picks · 408 bans
Weaver
337 picks · 762 bans
Snapfire
325 picks · 178 bans
Kunkka
264 picks · 443 bans
Spirit Breaker
259 picks · 372 bans
Ember Spirit
241 picks · 326 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 40%
Hero pool strength53% 5ManMidas
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% 5ManMidas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:30
Electronic Boys 48%5ManMidas 52%
The model gave 52% on 5ManMidas — the game was taken by 5ManMidas in 33:13.
Game 2prediction correct32:39
Electronic Boys 48%5ManMidas 52%
The model gave 52% on 5ManMidas — the game was taken by 5ManMidas in 40:25.
Model check result
Model favorite5ManMidas · 52%
Series result5ManMidas 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2