Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gambit Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Shadow Demon
Heaven · 30 games
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 29 games
Hoodwink
Heaven · 24 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 22 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Lodine · 21 game
Abaddon
Lodine · 19 games
Dark Willow
Heaven · 19 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 19 games
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
432 picks · 317 bans
Mars
404 picks · 589 bans
Queen of Pain
339 picks · 407 bans
Weaver
337 picks · 760 bans
Snapfire
324 picks · 178 bans
Kunkka
262 picks · 443 bans
Spirit Breaker
257 picks · 372 bans
Ember Spirit
241 picks · 326 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:39
Nemiga Gaming 68%Gambit Esports 32%
The model gave 68% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 50:24.
Game 2prediction missed13:26
Nemiga Gaming 68%Gambit Esports 32%
The model gave 68% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 34:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 68%
Series resultGambit Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2