Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Inverseloss 1:2series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Our Waywin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Inverse
Gyrocopter
Adrx · 4 games
Ogre Magi
Slaw · 4 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Migi · 4 games
Hoodwink
MonHty · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Migi · 3 games
Medusaoften banned
Adrx · 3 games
Axe
ArzenT · 2 games
Centaur Warrunner
ArzenT · 2 games
Our Way
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
427 picks · 316 bans
Mars
400 picks · 584 bans
Queen of Pain
336 picks · 394 bans
Weaver
330 picks · 751 bans
Snapfire
323 picks · 178 bans
Kunkka
258 picks · 442 bans
Spirit Breaker
252 picks · 363 bans
Disruptor
240 picks · 167 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 57%
Hero pool strength58% Our Way
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Our Way
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteOur Way · 67%
Series resultOur Way 1:2
Series predictioncorrect