Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Royal Never Give Uploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Pangoliersignature
Xiao8 · 19 games
Banesignature
y` · 16 games
Elder Titansignature
y` · 15 games
Kunkkasignature
NothingToSay · 12 games
Monkey Kingsignature
XinQ · 12 games
Iosignature
XinQ · 11 games
Leshracsignature
Xiao8 · 11 games
Lunasignature
Ame · 11 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
427 picks · 314 bans
Mars
401 picks · 582 bans
Queen of Pain
333 picks · 394 bans
Weaver
330 picks · 749 bans
Snapfire
322 picks · 178 bans
Kunkka
256 picks · 441 bans
Spirit Breaker
249 picks · 362 bans
Disruptor
241 picks · 166 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 65%
Hero pool strength66% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total87% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:15
LGD Gaming 87%Royal Never Give Up 13%
The model gave 87% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 31:37.
Game 2prediction correct45:51
LGD Gaming 87%Royal Never Give Up 13%
The model gave 87% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 1:20:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 87%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2