Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LBZSwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
LBZS
Death Prophet
Shanks · 5 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
Molasses · 4 games
Iooften banned
CatYou · 3 games
Leshracoften banned
Shanks · 3 games
Tusk
CatYou · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Molasses · 2 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Shanks · 2 games
Razoroften banned
Shanks · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
426 picks · 312 bans
Mars
399 picks · 580 bans
Queen of Pain
331 picks · 390 bans
Weaver
327 picks · 750 bans
Snapfire
323 picks · 179 bans
Kunkka
253 picks · 441 bans
Spirit Breaker
247 picks · 358 bans
Disruptor
241 picks · 164 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% LBZS
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:15
Invictus Gaming 72%LBZS 28%
The model gave 72% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by LBZS in 42:30.
Game 2prediction missed25:48
Invictus Gaming 72%LBZS 28%
The model gave 72% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by LBZS in 59:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 72%
Series resultLBZS 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2