Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Tickleswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Gyrocoptersignature
Fata · 14 games
Batridersignature
Nine · 11 games
Doomsignature
33 · 11 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Skiter · 11 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Sneyking · 11 games
Banesignature
Fata · 10 games
Lunasignature
Skiter · 9 games
Pangoliersignature
Fata · 9 games
Team Tickles
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
423 picks · 310 bans
Mars
398 picks · 578 bans
Queen of Pain
330 picks · 382 bans
Weaver
326 picks · 741 bans
Snapfire
322 picks · 177 bans
Kunkka
251 picks · 441 bans
Spirit Breaker
243 picks · 354 bans
Disruptor
240 picks · 163 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 77%
Hero pool strength63% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:43
Tundra Esports 56%Team Tickles 44%
The model gave 56% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Team Tickles in 35:21.
Game 2prediction missed12:41
Tundra Esports 56%Team Tickles 44%
The model gave 56% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Team Tickles in 31:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 56%
Series resultTeam Tickles 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2