Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
T1win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Pangoliersignature
Tims · 20 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Tims · 14 games
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 14 games
Enchantresssignature
Skem · 13 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 13 games
Bloodseekersignature
Palos · 11 games
Iosignature
Skem · 11 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 10 games
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
426 picks · 308 bans
Mars
397 picks · 581 bans
Queen of Pain
330 picks · 380 bans
Weaver
326 picks · 742 bans
Snapfire
323 picks · 177 bans
Kunkka
251 picks · 441 bans
Spirit Breaker
243 picks · 354 bans
Disruptor
239 picks · 163 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 67%
Hero pool strength64% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total58% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:28
BOOM Esports 58%T1 42%
The model gave 58% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by T1 in 57:46.
Game 2prediction missed11:52
BOOM Esports 58%T1 42%
The model gave 58% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by T1 in 46:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 58%
Series resultT1 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2