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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Yandexloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 45 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 25 games
64%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
54%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 24 games
50%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 23 games
57%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 22 games
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 19 games
79%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
42%

Team Yandex

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 32 games
75%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 32 games
66%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Saksa · 26 games
58%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 21 game
81%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
67%
Axe
Axesignature
Noticed · 19 games
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
622 picks · 960 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
512 picks · 432 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
458 picks · 627 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
436 picks · 988 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
429 picks · 468 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
422 picks · 513 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
417 picks · 260 bans
47%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 548 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% Team Yandex
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total54% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:16
BETBOOM TEAM 45%Team Yandex 55%
The model gave 55% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezKiritych
49% · 79 games59% · 50 games
ClinkzWatson
Clinkz
Largo
LargoMieRo
43% · 60 games47% · 108 games
Void SpiritChira JUNIOR
Void Spirit
Monkey King
Monkey KinggpK~
55% · 171 game52% · 235 games
MarsNoticed
Mars
Warlock
WarlockKataomi
48% · 359 games49% · 207 games
Shadow ShamanSaksa
Shadow Shaman
Lion
LionSave-
47% · 84 games55% · 153 games
MarciMalady
Marci
Game 2prediction missed47:20
BETBOOM TEAM 48%Team Yandex 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerKiritych
51% · 178 games48% · 243 games
Shadow FiendWatson
Shadow Fiend
Enigma
EnigmaMieRo
51% · 71 game41% · 174 games
Void SpiritChira JUNIOR
Void Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritgpK~
54% · 253 games54% · 155 games
UnderlordNoticed
Underlord
Marci
MarciSave-
53% · 151 game45% · 207 games
MuertaSaksa
Muerta
Disruptor
DisruptorKataomi
51% · 255 games54% · 129 games
ClockwerkMalady
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 54%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2