Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Our Wayloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Invokersignature
mini-` · 6 games
Marsoften banned
Valquiria · 5 games
Treant Protector
Nuages · 5 games
Lion
Jupiter · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Benny · 3 games
Skywrath Mage
Jupiter · 3 games
Snapfire
Jupiter · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Valquiria · 2 games
Our Way
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
395 picks · 285 bans
Mars
381 picks · 543 bans
Snapfire
309 picks · 176 bans
Weaver
299 picks · 716 bans
Queen of Pain
285 picks · 348 bans
Kunkka
234 picks · 400 bans
Disruptor
231 picks · 154 bans
Ember Spirit
229 picks · 310 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 62%
Hero pool strength54% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:36
Infinity Esports 59%Our Way 41%
The model gave 59% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Our Way in 30:36.
Game 2prediction missed46:19
Infinity Esports 59%Our Way 41%
The model gave 59% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Our Way in 37:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 59%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2