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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stray Teamwin 2:1
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Rostik Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Stray Team

Necrophos
Necrophossignature
Stray · 8 games
63%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
Goodoq · 6 games
33%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Vovapain · 6 games
67%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Stray · 5 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Goodoq · 4 games
75%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Vovapain · 4 games
75%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 4 games
75%
Pudge
Pudge
DkFogas · 4 games
50%

Rostik Team

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
494 picks · 356 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
381 picks · 225 bans
46%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
347 picks · 640 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
336 picks · 343 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
316 picks · 229 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
304 picks · 294 bans
61%
Pangolier
Pangolier
291 picks · 397 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
288 picks · 422 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% Stray Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Stray Team 36%Rostik Team 64%
The model gave 64% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team.
Game 2prediction missed
Stray Team 36%Rostik Team 64%
The model gave 64% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Stray Team.
Game 3prediction missed
Stray Team 36%Rostik Team 64%
The model gave 64% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Stray Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 64%
Series resultStray Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3