Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportsloss 1:2series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 1:2
CIS Rejectswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
CIS Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
374 picks · 271 bans
Mars
373 picks · 535 bans
Snapfire
326 picks · 202 bans
Weaver
313 picks · 720 bans
Queen of Pain
264 picks · 336 bans
Disruptor
241 picks · 155 bans
Ember Spirit
238 picks · 311 bans
Io
234 picks · 605 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 86%
Hero pool strength50% Gambit Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% CIS Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:28
Gambit Esports 17%CIS Rejects 83%
The model gave 83% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by CIS Rejects in 33:36.
Game 2prediction correct15:42
Gambit Esports 17%CIS Rejects 83%
The model gave 83% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by CIS Rejects in 45:07.
Game 3prediction correct19:21
Gambit Esports 17%CIS Rejects 83%
The model gave 83% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by CIS Rejects in 46:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteCIS Rejects · 83%
Series resultCIS Rejects 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3