Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNloss 0:2series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
beastcoastwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoPing VPN
Marssignature
Oscar · 17 games
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 14 games
Lunaoften banned
RdO · 13 games
Lionsignature
Michael · 11 games
Abaddon
Panda · 10 games
Miranasignature
Thiolicor · 10 games
Hoodwink
Matthew · 9 games
Iooften banned
KJ · 9 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
377 picks · 535 bans
Bane
375 picks · 267 bans
Snapfire
333 picks · 208 bans
Weaver
316 picks · 735 bans
Queen of Pain
258 picks · 340 bans
Io
244 picks · 615 bans
Disruptor
242 picks · 156 bans
Ember Spirit
241 picks · 310 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 44%
Hero pool strength59% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total67% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:38
NoPing VPN 33%beastcoast 67%
The model gave 67% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast in 49:48.
Game 2prediction correct27:28
NoPing VPN 33%beastcoast 67%
The model gave 67% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast in 35:46.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 67%
Series resultbeastcoast 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2