Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Brameloss 0:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Brame
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 18 games
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
Lunasignature
Nefrit · 15 games
Marssignature
SkyLark · 15 games
Linaoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
SkyLark · 12 games
Earth Spiritsignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 12 games
Kunkkasignature
W1sh- · 12 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
377 picks · 536 bans
Bane
373 picks · 267 bans
Snapfire
335 picks · 207 bans
Weaver
320 picks · 733 bans
Queen of Pain
255 picks · 340 bans
Io
242 picks · 617 bans
Disruptor
241 picks · 155 bans
Ember Spirit
240 picks · 309 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 64%
Hero pool strength58% Brame
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total63% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:44
Brame 37%Entity 63%
The model gave 63% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 44:26.
Game 2prediction correct28:44
Brame 37%Entity 63%
The model gave 63% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 40:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 63%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2