Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Unknownloss 0:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Balrogswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unknown
Kunkkaoften banned
Robo-Z · 4 games
Leshracoften banned
BlackSoul · 4 games
Lion
Wij · 4 games
Void Spirit
BlackSoul · 4 games
Clockwerk
Aretes · 3 games
Grimstroke
Prada · 3 games
Gyrocopter
Argius · 3 games
Iooften banned
FeelinG · 3 games
Balrogs
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
376 picks · 534 bans
Bane
372 picks · 267 bans
Snapfire
335 picks · 205 bans
Weaver
319 picks · 731 bans
Queen of Pain
251 picks · 339 bans
Io
241 picks · 614 bans
Disruptor
239 picks · 155 bans
Ember Spirit
238 picks · 309 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 55%
Hero pool strength59% Balrogs
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Balrogs
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:27
Team Unknown 34%Balrogs 66%
The model gave 66% on Balrogs — the game was taken by Balrogs in 20:54.
Game 2prediction correct6:30
Team Unknown 34%Balrogs 66%
The model gave 66% on Balrogs — the game was taken by Balrogs in 18:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteBalrogs · 66%
Series resultBalrogs 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2