Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Xtreme Gaming
Queen of Painsignature
Paparazi · 9 games
Marssignature
Srf · 7 games
Banesignature
Dy · 6 games
Earthshakersignature
Pyw · 6 games
Puckoften banned
Paparazi · 5 games
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Pyw · 5 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Paparazi · 5 games
Ursaoften banned
Another · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
369 picks · 539 bans
Bane
349 picks · 257 bans
Snapfire
338 picks · 204 bans
Weaver
321 picks · 722 bans
Io
242 picks · 571 bans
Disruptor
241 picks · 154 bans
Monkey King
241 picks · 732 bans
Tidehunter
236 picks · 371 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 63%
Hero pool strength61% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:21
Royal Never Give Up 55%Xtreme Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 41:23.
Game 2prediction missed31:37
Royal Never Give Up 55%Xtreme Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 50:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 55%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2