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Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO1
result vs prediction
TNC Predatorloss 0:1
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:1
iG Vitalitywin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TNC Predator

Phoenix
Phoenix
Boomy · 7 games
43%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Bok · 6 games
33%
Lion
Lionsignature
Tims · 6 games
83%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 6 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Bok · 5 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 5 games
20%
Razor
Razoroften banned
YoungGodLevi · 5 games
20%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Gabbi · 5 games
40%

iG Vitality

Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
ukiyo · 9 games
22%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 9 games
33%
Lina
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 8 games
25%
Io
Iooften banned
Dogf1ghts · 5 games
60%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
60%
Clinkz
Clinkz
ukiyo · 4 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 4 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QYQX · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
368 picks · 544 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
343 picks · 257 bans
59%
Snapfire
Snapfire
339 picks · 204 bans
45%
Weaver
Weaver
323 picks · 719 bans
56%
Monkey King
Monkey King
244 picks · 739 bans
55%
Disruptor
Disruptor
242 picks · 156 bans
52%
Io
Io
239 picks · 570 bans
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
235 picks · 377 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)17% vs 33%
Hero pool strength54% TNC Predator
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% TNC Predator
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:33
TNC Predator 57%iG Vitality 43%
The model gave 57% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 38:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
Doomxiaoyu154
44% · 71 game55% · 139 games
Terrorbladeukiyo
Terrorblade
Kunkka
KunkkaYoungGodLevi
49% · 108 games54% · 132 games
RazorButterflyEffect
Razor
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainYowe
47% · 133 games56% · 133 games
IoDogf1ghts
Io
Weaver
WeaverPlayHard
43% · 179 games58% · 234 games
BaneQYQX
Bane
Lina
LinaFebby
39% · 147 games
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC Predator · 66%
Series resultiG Vitality 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1