Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team MagMaloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
366 picks · 544 bans
Bane
343 picks · 257 bans
Snapfire
337 picks · 203 bans
Weaver
323 picks · 716 bans
Monkey King
244 picks · 740 bans
Disruptor
241 picks · 157 bans
Io
239 picks · 566 bans
Tidehunter
236 picks · 378 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% Royal Never Give Up
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total63% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:15
Royal Never Give Up 63%Team MagMa 37%
The model gave 63% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Team MagMa in 25:50.
Game 2prediction missed26:14
Royal Never Give Up 63%Team MagMa 37%
The model gave 63% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Team MagMa in 32:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 63%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2