Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Uploss 1:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Xtreme Gaming
Marssignature
Srf · 6 games
Bane
Dy · 5 games
Puckoften banned
Paparazi · 5 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Paparazi · 5 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Paparazi · 5 games
Ursaoften banned
Another · 5 games
Earthshaker
Pyw · 4 games
Enchantressoften banned
Dy · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
370 picks · 546 bans
Bane
344 picks · 260 bans
Snapfire
337 picks · 207 bans
Weaver
329 picks · 715 bans
Monkey King
252 picks · 746 bans
Io
241 picks · 570 bans
Tidehunter
239 picks · 377 bans
Disruptor
238 picks · 157 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 64%
Hero pool strength59% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:8
Royal Never Give Up 48%Xtreme Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 36:30.
Game 2prediction correct37:30
Royal Never Give Up 48%Xtreme Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 56:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 52%
Accuracy by game2 of 2